{"id":5770,"date":"2023-08-02T18:46:11","date_gmt":"2023-08-02T16:46:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/?p=5770"},"modified":"2024-02-08T18:05:49","modified_gmt":"2024-02-08T17:05:49","slug":"ma-recese-vliv-na-rust-bitcoinu-a-dalsich-kryptomen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/ma-recese-vliv-na-rust-bitcoinu-a-dalsich-kryptomen\/","title":{"rendered":"M\u00e1 recese vliv na r\u016fst Bitcoinu a dal\u0161\u00edch kryptom\u011bn?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodou, \u017ee Bitcoin vznikl jen rok <strong>po velk\u00e9 recesi v roce 2008<\/strong>. D\u0159\u00edve neexistovala \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 kryptom\u011bna, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee analytici, kte\u0159\u00ed zkoumaj\u00ed historii Bitcoinu mohou pouze spekulovat o tom, co se s BTC a dal\u0161\u00edmi kryptom\u011bnami stane v souvislosti s n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed kriz\u00ed po COVID-19.<\/p>\n<p>Digit\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bny jsou obecn\u011b navr\u017eeny tak, aby se osvobodily od centralizovan\u00fdch org\u00e1n\u016f a tradi\u010dn\u00edch bankovn\u00edch syst\u00e9m\u016f. Podle z\u00e1kladn\u00edho dokumentu Bitcoinu, tzv. &#8222;whitepaperu&#8220;, kter\u00fd napsal Satoshi Nakamoto, m\u00e1 tato prvn\u00ed kryptom\u011bna slou\u017eit jako nez\u00e1visl\u00fd, bezpe\u010dn\u00fd a transparentn\u00ed pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed syst\u00e9m, kter\u00fd by nahradil centr\u00e1ln\u00ed banky. V souvislosti s ekonomickou kriz\u00ed se nab\u00edz\u00ed ot\u00e1zka, jak by kryptom\u011bny obst\u00e1ly. Zda by v\u0161ak <strong>p\u0159e\u017eily velkou recesi a ekonomick\u00fd pokles<\/strong>, z\u016fst\u00e1v\u00e1 ot\u00e1zkou.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>N\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed investo\u0159i pova\u017euj\u00ed Bitcoin za &#8222;digit\u00e1ln\u00ed zlato&#8220; a hledaj\u00ed v n\u011bm bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 nestability. V pr\u016fb\u011bhu n\u011bkter\u00fdch krizov\u00fdch obdob\u00ed se hodnota Bitcoinu zv\u00fd\u0161ila, proto\u017ee lid\u00e9 hledali alternativn\u00ed zp\u016fsoby uchov\u00e1n\u00ed hodnoty a diverzifikace.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<h2>Vliv krize na Bitcoin<\/h2>\n<p>Po za\u010d\u00e1tku epidemie COVID-19 v\u0161ichni p\u0159edpokl\u00e1dali, \u017ee krypto pr\u016fmysl nep\u0159e\u017eije, nicm\u00e9n\u011b se stal p\u0159esn\u00fd opak. Kryptom\u011bny dosud nikdy ale nepro\u017eily ekonomick\u00fd pokles, ale existuje rostouc\u00ed pravd\u011bpodobnost, \u017ee glob\u00e1ln\u00ed krize a to mnohem v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed nastane. P\u0159edpov\u011bdi v\u00fdvoje digit\u00e1ln\u00edch aktiv v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b ekonomick\u00e9ho poklesu dosud nebyly jednotn\u00e9. Kryptom\u011bny se dlouhodob\u011b vyv\u00edjely a rostly, zejm\u00e9na b\u011bhem r\u016fstu trhu v USA. Od uveden\u00ed Bitcoinu na trh se HDP v USA (hrub\u00fd dom\u00e1c\u00ed produkt) neust\u00e1le zlep\u0161oval.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>V dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 krize m\u016f\u017ee doj\u00edt k zes\u00edlen\u00ed snah vl\u00e1d a regula\u010dn\u00edch org\u00e1n\u016f o regulaci kryptom\u011bn. To m\u016f\u017ee m\u00edt vliv cenu Bitcoinu.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>V letech 2009 a\u017e 2023 se tak\u00e9 sn\u00ed\u017eila m\u00edra nezam\u011bstnanosti. Pr\u00e1v\u011b v roce 2021 se Bitcoin vy\u0161plhal na sv\u00e9 <a href=\"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/kurzy\/bitcoin\">rekordn\u00ed maximum 68 000 USD<\/a> za BTC. Zem\u011b, kter\u00e9 ji\u017e za\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed v\u00e1\u017enou recesi, jako je nap\u0159\u00edklad Venezuela, ji\u017e kryptom\u011bny, ve v\u011bt\u0161in\u011b p\u0159\u00edpad\u016f Bitcoin, vyzkou\u0161ely a zjistily, \u017ee p\u016fvodn\u00ed kryptoaktivum je &#8222;bezpe\u010dn\u00fdm p\u0159\u00edstavem&#8220;, i v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b devalvace n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bny. Investic\u00ed do Bitcoinu by Venezuelan\u00e9, kte\u0159\u00ed se rozhodli vym\u011bnit n\u00e1rodn\u00ed m\u011bnu za BTC, mohli devalvaci zpomalit.<\/p>\n<h2>P\u016fjde Bitcoin nahoru, pokud se trh zhrout\u00ed?<\/h2>\n<p>P\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed <a href=\"\/kurzy\/bitcoin\/predikce\">budouc\u00edho v\u00fdvoje Bitcoinu<\/a> nebo jak\u00e9koli jin\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho aktiva je tak\u0159ka nemo\u017en\u00e9. Bitcoin n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed pova\u017euj\u00ed za &#8222;bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav&#8220; v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 nestability, podobn\u011b jako je tomu u zlata. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b, \u017ee by do\u0161lo k hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 krizi, n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed investo\u0159i by se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b mohli obr\u00e1tit k Bitcoinu jako k alternativn\u00edmu aktivu pro uchov\u00e1n\u00ed hodnoty nebo diverzifikaci sv\u00e9ho portfolia.<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Bitcoin m\u016f\u017ee m\u00fdt kladnou korelaci s akciov\u00fdmi trhy. To znamen\u00e1, \u017ee v dob\u011b ekonomick\u00e9 krize by hodnota Bitcoinu mohla b\u00fdt ovlivn\u011bna v\u00fdvojem na t\u011bchto trz\u00edch.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>D\u00edky sv\u00e9m povaze, jde tedy sp\u00ed\u0161e o komoditu ne\u017e o akcii, podobn\u011b jako je tomu u zlata, je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee v p\u0159\u00edpad\u011b recese vzroste hodnota Bitcoinu, proto\u017ee mnoho investor\u016f se pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b obr\u00e1t\u00ed k BTC jako k ochrann\u00e9mu aktivu. Pokud dojde k v\u00fdrazn\u00e9mu r\u016fstu ceny, m\u016f\u017ee n\u00e1sledovat i pokles, proto\u017ee n\u011bkte\u0159\u00ed obchodn\u00edci budou cht\u00edt dos\u00e1hnout zisku n\u00e1kupem za n\u00edzkou cenu a pot\u00e9 prod\u00e1n\u00edm za vy\u0161\u0161\u00ed cenu.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin dnes p\u0159edstavuje v\u00edce ne\u017e 50 % celkov\u00e9 tr\u017en\u00ed kapitalizace kryptom\u011bn a je pova\u017eov\u00e1n za &#8222;bezpe\u010dn\u00fd p\u0159\u00edstav&#8220; mnoha investor\u016f a obchodn\u00edk\u016f d\u00edky sv\u00e9 decentralizovan\u00e9 povaze a vz\u00e1cnosti. Bitcoin slou\u017e\u00ed pro transakce s pen\u011b\u017en\u00ed hodnotou, zat\u00edmco investo\u0159i mohou bu\u010f dr\u017eet sv\u00e9 BTC jednotky (tzv. &#8222;HODL&#8220;) nebo je sm\u011b\u0148ovat za jin\u00e9 fiat m\u011bny a digit\u00e1ln\u00ed aktiva v souladu s tr\u017en\u00edmi trendy.<\/p>\n<h2>Ovlivn\u00ed recese krypto pr\u016fmysl?<\/h2>\n<p>V\u0161echny <strong>kryptom\u011bny jsou odli\u0161n\u00e9 a maj\u00ed r\u016fzn\u00e9 charakteristiky<\/strong> a \u00fa\u010dely, stejn\u011b jako r\u016fzn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti na finan\u010dn\u00edm trhu. Proto je logick\u00e9, \u017ee kryptom\u011bny by mohly na krizi reagovat r\u016fzn\u011b. Zat\u00edmco Bitcoin pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude fungovat nez\u00e1visle na zbytku trhu, dal\u0161\u00ed t\u00e9m\u011b\u0159 25 000 kryptom\u011bn bude pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b n\u00e1sledovat obecn\u00e9 trendy.<\/p>\n<p>Pro anal\u00fdzu dopadu recese na trh s kryptom\u011bnami je mo\u017en\u00e9 zkoumat r\u016fzn\u00e9 faktory, jako je tr\u017en\u00ed hodnota, objemy obchod\u016f, historick\u00e9 metriky, aplikace, slu\u017eby, architektura a vyu\u017eit\u00ed. Hlavn\u00ed t\u0159i kryptom\u011bny &#8211; Bitcoin, Ethereum a XRP spole\u010dnosti Ripple &#8211; se li\u0161\u00ed v struktu\u0159e a pou\u017eit\u00ed. Proto by pro p\u0159edpov\u011b\u010f mohlo b\u00fdt u\u017eite\u010dn\u00e9 zkoumat chov\u00e1n\u00ed BTC, ETH a XRP.<\/p>\n<p>Bitcoin pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b bude v dob\u011b krize r\u016fst, podobn\u011b jako zlato, proto\u017ee jeho hlavn\u00edm \u00fa\u010delem je uchov\u00e1n\u00ed hodnoty. Ethereum, na druh\u00e9 stran\u011b, je platforma pro v\u00fdvoj\u00e1\u0159e, kter\u00e1 poskytuje chytr\u00e9 smlouvy a digit\u00e1ln\u00ed aplikace. Jeho hodnota je v\u00edce z\u00e1visl\u00e1 na jeho uplatn\u011bn\u00ed, a proto by mohlo b\u00fdt ovlivn\u011bno ekonomickou kriz\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>XRP by pravd\u011bpodobn\u011b tak\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017eilo recesi, proto\u017ee Ripple. Nicm\u00e9n\u011b by mohl b\u00fdt ovlivn\u011bn, pokud by se jeho adopce zpomalila. V dlouhodob\u00e9m horizontu je pravd\u011bpodobn\u00e9, \u017ee recese odd\u011bl\u00ed siln\u00e9 a slab\u00e9 projekty na trhu s kryptom\u011bnami,<strong> a nejsiln\u011bj\u0161\u00ed a nejhodnotn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed kryptom\u011bny by m\u011bly b\u00fdt schopn\u00e9 p\u0159e\u017e\u00edt.<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Nen\u00ed n\u00e1hodou, \u017ee Bitcoin vznikl jen rok po velk\u00e9 recesi v roce 2008. D\u0159\u00edve neexistovala \u017e\u00e1dn\u00e1 jin\u00e1 kryptom\u011bna, co\u017e znamen\u00e1, \u017ee analytici, kte\u0159\u00ed zkoumaj\u00ed historii Bitcoinu mohou pouze spekulovat o tom, co se s BTC a dal\u0161\u00edmi kryptom\u011bnami stane v souvislosti s n\u00e1sleduj\u00edc\u00ed kriz\u00ed po COVID-19. Digit\u00e1ln\u00ed m\u011bny jsou obecn\u011b navr\u017eeny tak, aby se osvobodily [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5771,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"Vliv krize a recese na r\u016fst ceny Bitcoinu a dal\u0161\u00edch kryptom\u011bn. Jak recese ovliv\u0148uje Bitcoin a kryptom\u011bny. Bude krypto sektor v krizi r\u016fst?","_seopress_robots_index":"","_seopress_robots_follow":"","_seopress_robots_imageindex":"","_seopress_robots_snippet":"","_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_robots_breadcrumbs":"","_seopress_robots_freeze_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_custom_modified_date":"","_seopress_robots_canonical":"","_seopress_social_fb_title":"","_seopress_social_fb_desc":"","_seopress_social_fb_img":"","_seopress_social_fb_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_fb_img_height":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_title":"","_seopress_social_twitter_desc":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img":"","_seopress_social_twitter_img_attachment_id":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_width":0,"_seopress_social_twitter_img_height":0,"_seopress_redirections_value":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled":"","_seopress_redirections_enabled_regex":"","_seopress_redirections_logged_status":"","_seopress_redirections_param":"","_seopress_redirections_type":0,"_seopress_analysis_target_kw":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[193],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5770","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-kryptomeny"],"modified_by":"Krpensk\u00fd Martin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5770","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=5770"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/5770\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/5771"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=5770"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=5770"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=5770"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}