{"id":8742,"date":"2024-12-29T14:14:50","date_gmt":"2024-12-29T13:14:50","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/?p=8742"},"modified":"2025-01-17T23:00:25","modified_gmt":"2025-01-17T22:00:25","slug":"byci-a-medvedi-trendy-na-trzich-jak-je-rozpoznat-a-najit","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/byci-a-medvedi-trendy-na-trzich-jak-je-rozpoznat-a-najit\/","title":{"rendered":"B\u00fd\u010d\u00ed a medv\u011bd\u00ed trendy na trz\u00edch jak je rozpoznat a naj\u00edt?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Pokud si vezmeme graf ledajak\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho instrumentu v ur\u010dit\u00e9m \u010dase, tak zjist\u00edme, \u017ee velmi \u010dasto se cena ub\u00edr\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00fdm sm\u011brem a to bu\u010f\u00a0<strong>stoup\u00e1 nahoru<\/strong>,\u00a0<strong>kles\u00e1 dol\u016f<\/strong>, nebo se pohybuje\u00a0<strong>horizont\u00e1ln\u011b bokem<\/strong>\u00a0(do strany). Tento sm\u011br, kter\u00fd cena nabude v ur\u010dit\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci se naz\u00fdv\u00e1\u00a0<strong>&#8222;trend&#8220;<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00fakol obchodn\u00edka, kter\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 technickou anal\u00fdzu p\u0159i nakupov\u00e1n\u00ed a obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s cenn\u00fdmi pap\u00edry,\u00a0<a title=\"Forex\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/rubrika\/forex\/\"><strong>forexu<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0atd je identifikace tohoto trendu.\u00a0<strong>Tedy p\u0159i trendu rozli\u0161ujeme 3 pohyby cen:<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>\u25b6\u00a0<strong>1. Cena jde nahoru (angl. &#8222;Uptrend&#8220;)<\/strong>\u00a0&#8211; toto je obdob\u00ed kdy v\u011bt\u0161ina obchodn\u00edk\u016f a investor\u016f nakupuje cenniny s c\u00edlem, \u017ee je prodaj\u00ed kdy\u017e cena dos\u00e1hne jejich p\u0159edem stanovenou hodnotu. Wall Street m\u00e1 speci\u00e1ln\u00ed ozna\u010den\u00ed pro tento druh investor\u016f a obchodn\u00edk\u016f &#8211; &#8222;bulls&#8220; (b\u00fdci). Trh, kter\u00fd se pohybuje nahoru se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed trh (angl. Bull market)<\/p>\n<p>\u25b6\u00a0<strong>2. Cena jde dol\u016f (angl. &#8222;Downtrend&#8220;)<\/strong>\u00a0&#8211; toto obdob\u00ed se vyzna\u010duje kles\u00e1n\u00edm ceny a poskytuje p\u0159\u00edle\u017eitost pro ty, kte\u0159\u00ed se specializuj\u00ed na z\u00edsk\u00e1n\u00ed profitu spekulov\u00e1n\u00edm, \u017ee cena p\u016fjde je\u0161t\u011b n\u00ed\u017ee. Wall Street m\u00e1 ozna\u010duje tento druh investor\u016f a obchodn\u00edk\u016f menom- &#8222;bears&#8220; (medv\u011bdi). Trh, kter\u00fd se pohybuje dol\u016f se naz\u00fdv\u00e1 medv\u011bd\u00ed trh (angl. Bear market).<\/p>\n<p>\u25b6\u00a0<strong>3. Cena jde horizont\u00e1ln\u00ed-bokem (angl. &#8222;Sideways&#8220;)<\/strong>\u00a0&#8211; toto je obdob\u00ed, kdy v obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed nep\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00ed b\u00fdci ani medv\u011bdi.<\/p>\n<h2>Co je Dow Theory?<\/h2>\n<div class=\"uk-text-lead\">\n<p>Zaj\u00edm\u00e1 v\u00e1s co je Dowova teorie a jak ji vyu\u017e\u00edt p\u0159i ur\u010dov\u00e1n\u00ed trendu?<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejme se na z\u00e1kladn\u00ed poznatky, kter\u00fdmi se technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza vyzna\u010duje:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>Ceny se nej\u010dast\u011bji pohybuj\u00ed v trendech<\/li>\n<li>Trendy mohou identifikovat pomoc\u00ed vzor\u016f, kter\u00e9 se opakuj\u00ed a vyzna\u010duj\u00ed se podp\u016frn\u00fdmi a odporn\u00fdmi trendov\u00fdmi \u010darami (anglicky\u00a0<strong>&#8222;trendlines&#8220;<\/strong>).<\/li>\n<li>Prim\u00e1rn\u00ed trendy (kter\u00e9 trvaj\u00ed \u010dasto m\u011bs\u00edce a roky) jsou vypln\u011bny ze sekund\u00e1rn\u00edch pohyb\u016f (kter\u00e9 trvaj\u00ed t\u00fddny a\u017e m\u011bs\u00edce) v opa\u010dn\u00e9m sm\u011bru k prim\u00e1rn\u00edmu trendu (pou\u017e\u00edvan\u00fd anglick\u00fd n\u00e1zev pro sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed trendy je\u00a0<strong>&#8222;retracements&#8220;<\/strong>).<\/li>\n<li>Trendy existuj\u00ed a\u017e do doby, ne\u017e nastane n\u011bjak\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost, kter\u00e1 je zru\u0161\u00ed.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>Tento souhrn z\u00e1kladn\u00edch pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed se \u010dasto naz\u00fdv\u00e1 &#8222;Dow Theory&#8220;.\u00a0<strong>Charles Dow byl zakladatele americk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed firmy Dow Jones &amp; Company.<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>Pod\u00edvejme si z\u00e1kladn\u00ed poznatky, jimi\u017e se technick\u00e1 anal\u00fdza vyzna\u010duje:<\/p>\n<p>\u2192 Ceny finan\u010dn\u00edch instrument\u016f se nej\u010dast\u011bji pohybuj\u00ed v trendech<\/p>\n<p>\u2192 Trendy m\u016f\u017ee identifikovat pomoc\u00ed vzor\u016f, kter\u00e9 se opakuj\u00ed a kter\u00e9 se vyzna\u010duj\u00ed podp\u016frn\u00fdmi a odporn\u00fdmi trendov\u00fdmi \u010darami\u00a0<strong>(angl. &#8222;Trendline&#8220;)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>\u2192 Primarn\u00ed trendy (kter\u00e9 \u010dasto trvaj\u00ed m\u011bs\u00edce a roky), jsou prodchnut\u00e9 sekund\u00e1rn\u00edmi pohyby (tyto trvaj\u00ed t\u00fddn\u016f a\u017e m\u011bs\u00edc\u016f) v opa\u010dn\u00e9m sm\u011bru ke prim\u00e1rn\u00edho trendu (za\u017eit\u00fd anglick\u00fd n\u00e1zev pro sekund\u00e1rn\u00ed trendy je\u00a0<strong>&#8222;retracements&#8220;)<\/strong>.<\/p>\n<p>\u2192\u00a0<a title=\"Trendy\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/urceni-trendu\/\"><strong>Trendy<\/strong><\/a>\u00a0existuj\u00ed, dokud nenastane n\u011bjak\u00e1 ud\u00e1lost, kter\u00e1 je zru\u0161\u00ed.<\/p>\n<p>Tento souhrn z\u00e1kladn\u00edch pozorov\u00e1n\u00ed se \u010dasto naz\u00fdv\u00e1 &#8222;Dow Theory&#8220;. Charles Dow byl zakladatel americk\u00e9 finan\u010dn\u00ed firmy Dow Jones &amp; Company.<\/p>\n<h2>Z\u00e1v\u011br<\/h2>\n<p>Z dosud uveden\u00e9ho v\u00edme, \u017ee\u00a0<strong>d\u016fle\u017eit\u00fdm aspektem technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy je soust\u0159ed\u011bn\u00ed se na cenu instrument\u016f<\/strong>. Ceny instrument\u016f jsou takto v\u00fdsledkem kolektivn\u00edho rozhodnut\u00ed, kter\u00e9 provedli kupuj\u00edc\u00ed i prod\u00e1vaj\u00edc\u00ed. Podle technick\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy, ceny zahrnuj\u00ed v\u0161echny zn\u00e1m\u00e9 informace a p\u0159edpoklady o pat\u0159i\u010dn\u00fdch instrumentech, p\u0159i\u010dem\u017e ceny se m\u011bn\u00ed podle toho jak\u00e9 nov\u00e9 informace jsou k dispozici pro obchodn\u00edky a investory.<\/p>\n<p>Je t\u0159eba si uv\u011bdomit, \u017ee cena za kterou se instrument prod\u00e1v\u00e1\u00a0<strong>je \u010dasto odli\u0161n\u00e1 od jej\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 hodnoty<\/strong>, kter\u00e1 je zalo\u017eena na ekonomick\u00fdch v\u00fdsledc\u00edch pat\u0159i\u010dn\u00e9 spole\u010dnosti. Pro zji\u0161t\u011bn\u00ed skute\u010dn\u00e9 hodnoty instrument\u016f n\u00e1m slou\u017e\u00ed pr\u00e1v\u011b &#8222;<a title=\"Fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdza\" href=\"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/fundamentalni-analyza\/\"><strong>Fundament\u00e1ln\u00ed anal\u00fdza<\/strong><\/a>&#8222;. Technick\u00e9 a fundamet\u00e1ln\u00e9 anal\u00fdzy se vz\u00e1jemn\u011b prol\u00ednaj\u00ed a \u010dasto je pou\u017e\u00edvaj\u00ed oba druhy investor\u016f a obchodn\u00edk\u016f &#8211; technici i fundamentalist\u00e9.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Pokud si vezmeme graf ledajak\u00e9ho finan\u010dn\u00edho instrumentu v ur\u010dit\u00e9m \u010dase, tak zjist\u00edme, \u017ee velmi \u010dasto se cena ub\u00edr\u00e1 ur\u010dit\u00fdm sm\u011brem a to bu\u010f\u00a0stoup\u00e1 nahoru,\u00a0kles\u00e1 dol\u016f, nebo se pohybuje\u00a0horizont\u00e1ln\u011b bokem\u00a0(do strany). Tento sm\u011br, kter\u00fd cena nabude v ur\u010dit\u00e9m \u010dasov\u00e9m r\u00e1mci se naz\u00fdv\u00e1\u00a0&#8222;trend&#8220;. Z\u00e1kladn\u00ed \u00fakol obchodn\u00edka, kter\u00fd pou\u017e\u00edv\u00e1 technickou anal\u00fdzu p\u0159i nakupov\u00e1n\u00ed a obchodov\u00e1n\u00ed s cenn\u00fdmi pap\u00edry,\u00a0forexu\u00a0atd [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":8743,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_seopress_robots_primary_cat":"","_seopress_titles_title":"","_seopress_titles_desc":"Nau\u010dte se rozpozn\u00e1vat b\u00fd\u010d\u00ed a medv\u011bd\u00ed trendy na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch. Praktick\u00fd pr\u016fvodce z\u00e1kladn\u00edmi sign\u00e1ly pro identifikaci tr\u017en\u00edch trend\u016f.","_seopress_robots_index":"","_lmt_disableupdate":"","_lmt_disable":"","footnotes":""},"categories":[194],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8742","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-akcie"],"modified_by":"Krpensk\u00fd Martin","_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8742","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=8742"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8742\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/8743"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=8742"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=8742"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.forexsrovnavac.cz\/mag\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=8742"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}